Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 78.520595 88.031498 97.773701 108.468279 119.848255 131.567175 144.518517
2025-01-12 62.816103 76.334202 90.824400 107.386908 125.673513 145.135107 167.302416
2025-01-19 52.180838 67.613165 84.747814 104.926308 127.795159 152.685919 181.606995
2025-01-26 47.586707 64.922896 84.711376 108.548226 136.086760 166.545141 202.431010
2025-02-02 43.405714 62.152567 84.103133 111.083792 142.779707 178.319471 220.683016
2025-02-09 38.063708 57.439246 80.749419 110.005612 144.959486 184.687095 232.583346
2025-02-16 33.488645 53.249873 77.662814 108.916234 146.845077 190.489074 243.645473
2025-02-23 30.424751 50.719621 76.388260 109.815799 150.922928 198.711652 257.404386
2025-03-02 27.301744 47.835412 74.445071 109.700034 153.624471 205.200853 269.056842
2025-03-09 24.853114 45.660079 73.244407 110.369731 157.169147 212.608467 281.731383
2025-03-16 21.955638 42.603226 70.689759 109.151761 158.254495 216.973183 290.730948
2025-03-23 20.361382 41.303806 70.382096 110.743078 162.772451 225.435885 304.588098
2025-03-30 18.992132 40.262581 70.394195 112.760254 167.876095 234.699632 319.542692
2025-04-06 16.767507 37.712255 68.175585 111.724259 169.037876 239.106373 328.639929
2025-04-13 14.337539 34.589880 64.959707 109.192285 168.154313 240.894231 334.484664
2025-04-20 13.875626 34.680880 66.354735 112.904541 175.334160 252.681758 352.522465
2025-04-27 13.152905 34.259688 66.955854 115.501214 181.052577 262.654983 368.365042
2025-05-04 11.559821 32.158958 64.947743 114.397046 181.859779 266.440984 376.593428
2025-05-11 10.119500 30.173451 62.998166 113.281260 182.579908 270.066517 384.588903
2025-05-18 9.256320 29.181650 62.518856 114.202634 185.979184 277.065088 396.755073
2025-05-25 8.253694 27.802782 61.354569 114.084067 187.944386 282.216509 406.617000
2025-06-01 7.493143 26.826051 60.774869 114.769961 190.967970 288.706789 418.147580
2025-06-08 6.456193 25.124974 58.923591 113.522504 191.311884 291.722557 425.309035